by Paul Deffenbaugh | 6 April 2020 12:00 am
Not surprisingly, survey respondents are changing plans on the fly and their confidence in the future is not strong
We conducted the first survey from Monday, March 30 through Thursday, April 2, and 336 people responded. We broke our report into four areas:
The Revenue Changes section is below. Follow links on the sidebar to see the other sections.
We plan to do this survey every other week. If you have questions or would like to provide feedback, please contact Paul Deffenbaugh, editorial director, pdeffenbaugh@moderntrade.com[15]
(Note: Enlarge images when possible to read an explanation.)
We asked contractors to compare 2020 first quarter revenue to 2019 first quarter revenue (top bar). It is apparent that about half of the contractors saw increased revenues while half saw declining revenues. In fact, 22.2% had revenue increases of greater than 10%. That outlook shifted dramatically with the onset of the economic downturn as a result of the coronavirus pandemic.
The bottom bar compares first quarter revenue from this year to second quarter projections. At this point, slightly more than a quarter expect increased revenues. Given that the first quarter is often plagued by poor weather and slow starts, and the second quarter includes part of the peak building season, it’s clear that contractors anticipate a significant downturn. Perhaps it’s surprising that still more than 25% of respondents are forecasting increased revenues.
Looking at annual revenue projections, you can see contractors have revised them downward significantly. 26.1% indicate they have lowered 2020 revenue projects more than 10%. Still, about 20% of our contractor audience anticipates 2020 will continue to be a year of revenue growth, although a very slim few (1.8%) expect growth greater than 10%.
When asked how confident contractors were in their revenue predictions, there was a surprisingly high number (80.4%) to express some level of confidence in those projections, and more than a quarter felt either very confident or extremely confident that their revised annual revenue projections would be solid.
Source URL: https://www.metalconstructionnews.com/articles/coronavirus-survey-revenue-changes/
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