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Construction Hiring Slows Due To Economic Uncertainty

Slowdowns expected despite healthy employment numbers in March

construction worker wearing hardhat, holding drill, crouching on a metal roof

The national March 2025 not seasonally adjusted (NSA) construction unemployment rate was 5.4 percent, unchanged from March 2024, according to a state-by-state analysis of United States Bureau of Labor Statistics data released by Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC). The analysis found that 19 states had lower estimated construction unemployment rates over the same period, 25 had higher rates, and six states had the same rates. All states except for Connecticut, Maine, New Jersey, and Rhode Island had construction unemployment rates below 10 percent.

National NSA payroll construction employment was 140,000 greater than March 2024. As of March 2025, seasonally adjusted payroll construction employment was 703,000, or 9.2 percent, above its pre-pandemic peak of 7.6 million.

Estimated state construction unemployment rates were lower than their pre-pandemic level in much of the country. As of March 2025, 30 states had lower construction unemployment rates compared to March 2019, and 17 states had higher rates, while Alabama, Florida, and Minnesota had the same rate.

“Although March state construction unemployment rates show a relatively healthy level of construction employment, rising uncertainty about the business climate over the remainder of this year and 2026 is weighing on contractor and developer plans,” said Bernard Markstein, president and chief economist of Markstein Advisors, who conducted the analysis for ABC. “Confusion surrounding tariffs and their impact on building materials prices has increased the level of uncertainty. This is on top of continued elevated interest rates and higher labor costs. These concerns are stoking fears of a major economic slowdown and the possibility of a recession. For now, most of the construction industry is slowing or temporarily halting hiring workers as they seek greater clarity as to where the economy is headed.”

Recent Month-to-Month Fluctuations

In March, the national NSA construction unemployment rate dropped 1.8 percent from February as the weather improved in much of the country. All but two states (Louisiana and Mississippi) had lower estimated construction unemployment rates than in February.

The Top States

The five states with the lowest estimated NSA construction unemployment rates for March were:

1. South Dakota, 1.9 percent
2. Oklahoma, 2.3 percent
3. New Hampshire, 2.8 percent
4. West Virginia, 3.1 percent
5. Florida, 3.2 percent

South Dakota, Oklahoma, and West Virginia all notched their lowest March NSA estimated construction unemployment rate on record, while New Hampshire had its second-lowest March rate on record. Florida had its third-lowest March unemployment rate on record, behind its March rates in 2023 and 2024 (2.7 percent and 2.8 percent, respectively).

The Bottom States

The five states with the highest March estimated NSA construction unemployment rates were:

46. Minnesota, 9.8 percent
47. Connecticut, 10 percent
48. Maine, 10.2 percent
49. New Jersey, 12.2 percent
50. Rhode Island, 16 percent

Rhode Island, Connecticut, and Minnesota had the second, third, and fourth largest reduction in their monthly NSA estimated construction unemployment rates, respectively, among the states, behind Montana.

These graphs of United States and state overall unemployment rates (Tab 1) and construction unemployment rates (Tab 2) showing the impact of the pandemic, including a graphing tool that creates a chart for multiple states. To better understand the basis for calculating unemployment rates and what they measure, check out the Background on State Construction Unemployment Rates.